2022

Global Economy and Stock Markets

The U.S. economy and stock market continued to struggle in the quarter gone by. Economic uncertainty may have peaked in 1^st half of 2022 but it still remains high. US stock markets continue to feel the weight of Federal Reserve policy tightening, shrinking market liquidity and slower economic growth and were down by ~25% as of Sept 2022, their worst performance since 2002.

The world’s 2^nd largest economy is facing a series of headwinds including protracted COVID curbs, global recession risks impacting exports and a property downturn. The effects are yet to be seen as the government tries to revive economy and give support to the struggling property sector.

Inflation, which is the center point of concern has started to decline with October data showing lowest inflation figures since Jan 2022. This has resulted in hopes of Fed reducing its aggressive tightening policy as early as Dec when the odds for a 0.5% rate hike have increased significantly.

Indian Economy

As per Reuters, growth seems to have likely slowed to 6% in 3^rd quarter vs 13.5% in 2^nd quarter. However, India still continues to be the fastest growing economy in the world.