All posts tagged: investments

Far more money has been lost by investors preparing for corrections or trying to anticipate correction; than has been lost in corrections themselves.

Vishal Shah
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Market Overview – December 2020

Indian Economy

RBI in its December policy meeting upgraded India’s GDP forecast and expects economy to shrink 7.5% this fiscal vs earlier forecast of 9.5% contraction as the economy is recuperating faster than anticipated. Further, even the IMF upgraded its forecast for GDP growth in FY22 (8.8% growth earlier to 11.5% growth) making it the only key nation to record a double-digit growth and reclaim the status of world’s fastest growing major economy.

Additionally, RBI expects growth to be in positive trajectory for Oct-Dec 2020 period and predicts a V-shaped recovery in FY21 driven by rollout of vaccine. Also, since mid-September, India has done well to flatten the curve of Covid-19 cases. The number of active cases had fallen to 1.5 lakh from a peak of 10 lakh cases in September.

Vishal ShahMarket Overview – December 2020
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Market Overview – March 2020 Quarter

The year 2020 has been more than what we bargained for. From a pandemic called COVID-19 hitting almost the entire world, to the hardships caused by the lockdown to several businesses, to border tensions, and fears of a slump in corporate profitability, to cancellation and/or postponement of major sporting and social events, this has been quite a year so far.

The stock market in India has seen quite a roller-coaster ride. The S&P BSE Sensitive Index had fallen from a high of 42,273.9 in January 2020 to 25,638.9 in March 2020 (a fall of over 39%). This has been one of the sharpest falls in India’s stock market ever. However, the Index has staged a decent recovery, and at the end of June 2020, has risen to 34,915.8, which is a rise of 36% from the bottom of the year.

Vishal ShahMarket Overview – March 2020 Quarter
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Decisions by Fear

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Market prices falling? – should you exit your long-term stock specific portfolio too?

Sharp falls in market prices generally make headlines across all media. And no sooner when the index falls, predictions of more doom start pouring in from all corners. Clearly, the mood is that of panic and fear. And we won’t blame the investors if they are unwilling to touch stocks even with a six-feet pole. Simply because our brains are hardwired to make us run from danger at the first sight of it. And when it comes to investing, nothing can be more dangerous than seeing stocks suffer violent declines in a matter of hours.

adminDecisions by Fear
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